Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 15, 2019

July 15, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Her Divineness 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Autobahn Express 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Anissa 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Mrs. Crews 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Kendyl Elizabeth 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Berberslilbriebrie 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Only Essa 15.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Braydens Start 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Runs for Luck 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Ruble 8.00 3.6 7-1
1A 8 Saratoga Wildcat 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 2 Street Tail 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 King’s House 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 4 Ring Necked 4.50 5.2 10-1
8 6 Truly a Moon Shot 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 7 Jack O Liam 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 7 Musical Comedy 3.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Golden Exchange 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sanavi 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Gloves Off 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Run for James 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Degrom 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Charming Deputy 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Quality Asset 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Charming Indy 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Littlemissbusiness 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Untouchable U 3.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Mettemarlamelva 5.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Natalie La Rose 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Initforthelonghaul 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Coupella 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 9 Crystal Pier 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 Lucky Stash 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 3 Roraima Dos 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 1 La Candelita 20.00 7.9 15-1
1A 10 I’m Thirsty 20.00 SCRATCH
11 12 La Bella Pina 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Sense of Justice 2.00 2.3 4-1
2X 8 Johnny Ritt 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 5 Super John 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Otis Otis Otis 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 10 The Drake 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 1 Gravel Road 6.00 5.1 10-1
1A 9 Critical Review 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 4 Informative 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Big City Bob 8.00 6.1 11-1
5 3 Stash My Money 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Sir Rockport 4.00 4.3 8-1
1A 10 Draxhall Woods 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 5 Midnight Games 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 9 Doddsprivatelabel 3.50 5.2 10-1
5 4 Fillet of Sole 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Sunshine Wild 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Clowney 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 6 Fleet Gold Digger 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Stand and Salute 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Popizar 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Incubator 1.80 2.5 5-1
5 5 Controlled Fury 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Brio Man 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Super Vision 6.00 5.5 10-1
12 9 Vegas Strip 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Sight Line 5.00 5.7 11-1
10 8 Freudian Fall 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 1 Watch Your Words 15.00 6.8 13-1
1A 10 Nice Surprise 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 3 Shotmaster 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Arch Contender 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Flying Rocket 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 White Bluff 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Mess’n Around 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 1 Peach Alley 4.50 3.6 7-1
1A 7 Hey Braciole 1.60 4 8-1
1 6 Hey Mamaluke 1.60 4.3 8-1
7 8 Celesse 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Love On Fire 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 My Candy Forest 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 9 Rosie’s Notion 12.00 7 13-1
4 3 Grazen Honor 8.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Jack Straight 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Hey Jabber Jaw 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Irish Colonel 3.50 4 7-1
2 1 Baduke 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Elevated 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Flashonforty 6.00 5.1 10-1
1A 6 Espresso Caliente 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 3 Honorable Service 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Gurt Boys 12.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Fifty 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Pure Style 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Wheresthebarber 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Spider Jorgensen 2.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Tew Ways 5.00 4 7-1
7 6 Alwayslookeye 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Uncle James 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Mousetrap 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 King Victoria 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Rules 12.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Vinnyvinvincent 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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