Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 15, 2019

July 15, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Slewys Chosen One 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 6 Graceful Request 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 5 Lost Scroll 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Holly’s Lady 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Country Miss 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Cold Hearted Cat 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Dorothy M 20.00 4.8 9-1
1A 6 Say Yes Di Di 10.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Suiko 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 A Toast to Kay 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Mistiz 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Icy Lady 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Double Cross 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sterling Furiosa 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Princess Nekia 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sour Ball 3.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hey Big Guy 4.00 2.9 6-1
8 5 Follow the Signs 2.50 3 6-1
9 6 King Tide 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 My Friend Linus 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Tom’s Music 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Poppy’s Two Step 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Do With Pride 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Galaxy Express 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Legacy’s Prince 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 C Em Smile 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Now We Are Free 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 I’ll Wrap It Up 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Rocket Road 1.80 3.2 6-1
2 2 To the Stars 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Little Leo 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Hirschbein 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Tom Terrific 8.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Dig In 8.00 4 8-1
5 3 Wild Drive 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 1 Not Necessarily 4.50 4.8 9-1
7 6 Stunning Baby 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Cairo Holiday 15.00 5.1 10-1
1A 11 Purrs Well 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 5 Purrs Again 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 8 Top Mandate 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 2 Templemore 5.00 7.3 14-1
6 4 Mead Avenue 15.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Too Much Time 20.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Itsknownasthebern 12.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 For the Road 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Lippi Lorenzo 1.40 3 6-1
5 6 You’ll Like It 4.00 3.6 7-1
1A 3 Pep Talking 1.40 4 8-1
6 7 Tapitontheside 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 4 Quick Man 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 5 Lay It On 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Backyard Fun 10.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Single Mission 3.00 3 6-1
7 6 Vindicta 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Youknowwhatitizzz 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Ivanya 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 No Sniveling 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Just a Whim 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Myrtle 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tuff Duff 1.60 2 4-1
4 4 Sunni Blaze 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Supreme Appeal 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Bolter 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mrmistakenidentity 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Confusion 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Light Affair 15.00 6.1 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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