Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 14, 2019

July 14, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trebek 1.80 3.3 6-1
4 4 Perlarana 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Butilovesyababe 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Tishina 1.60 4.2 8-1
6 6 Miracle Silver 2.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Arrius 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gottoknowrightnow 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Station Rock 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sandretti 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Bay of Rum 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Hedeman 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Miriam’s Sky 4.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Lets Dance Some Mo 10.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Red Fever 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Drink in My Hand 2.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Kitten’s Solution 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Gator Spy 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Virga 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Arthur’s Pass 2.50 6.4 12-1
5 5 Duke of Miami 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Courting a Kiss 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Now We Are Nine 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Lion’s Goldenheart 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 White Wedding 4.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 In Memory of Floyd 6.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Seal Team Two 8.00 7.7 14-1
11 11 Sunspear 15.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Fahrenheit 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Conquer Him 8.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Dynamic Force 15.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Show Me Your Spots 20.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Copinsay 15.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Tikal 3.50 2.9 6-1
3 2 Keon 6.00 3.4 7-1
6 5 Unsurpassable 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Meet Cute 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 King Causeway 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Captain Vinnie 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Muskoka Son 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Silencer 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Souper Hot 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Massey Hall 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Piven 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Cheek to Cheek 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Nevaeh’s Dream 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Western Trouble 3.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Town Cruise 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Captain Handsome 4.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Get the Facts 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 In a Twist 3.50 7 13-1
11 11 Camp Nardo 15.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Blessed Two 8.00 8 15-1
10 10 Western Ghost 6.00 8 15-1
8 8 Victor’s Dynasty 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Argentium 10.00 9.8 19-1
1 1 Marcus 20.00 10.9 21-1
4 4 Legal Gump 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Vigil S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pink Lloyd 0.60 1.9 4-1
3 3 Marten Lake 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sable Island 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Circle of Friends 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Dixie’s Gamble 3.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Wyatt’s Town 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Eskiminzin 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Butler’s Pick 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 San Nicola Thunder 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Brass Compass 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Shakhimat 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 City Boy 6.00 4 7-1
7 7 Spanish Express 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Boreal Spirit 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Heydon’s Case 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 1 Leo From Heaven 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Olympic Runner 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Waldorf 3.50 4.3 8-1
10 7 Salieri 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 4 The Young Lord 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 Stormfuhr 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Bitethebulletbro 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Aye Aye Captain 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 First Crusader 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Metadata 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Poquito Bandito 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Victor’s Destiny 4.50 4.6 9-1
14 12 Hard Worker 8.00 5.1 10-1
12 11 Bee Keeper 4.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Lothbrook 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Apollo Benfica 30.00 7.3 14-1
11 10 Soul n’ Spirit 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Kyslios’s Justice 10.00 7.6 14-1
10 9 Darren’s Fortune 8.00 7.6 14-1
9 8 Cepelinas 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 4 Allium 20.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Sir Adidas 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Our Zuma 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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