Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 14, 2019

July 14, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shez a Grinder 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Sweet Poison 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 4 A Royal Ace 1.80 3.1 6-1
1 1 Sharp Turn 3.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Coil and Strike 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ps Bettin On You 4.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Dramatic Ride 2.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Champagne Honey 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 An Ocala Ten 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Zapana’s Game 5.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Impeachment Ace 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Dixie Doo Run Run 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Monceros 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Alfonso C 2.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Contratto 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Baja Warrior 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 L’Aquila 8.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 We’re Still Here 1.60 2.1 4-1
2 2 Ginobili 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Silent Fury 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Old Trafford 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Edelman 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Stay Legendary 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unchanged 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 E Bradley Cooper 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Gas Can 2.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Love and Hold 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Sky Glory 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Caprivi Strip 2.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 White Russian 10.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Muscle Head 8.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zip the Monkey 1.80 3.7 7-1
4 4 War Union 2.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 I’m Amore 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Stay Golden 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Saltarin 3.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Lead Star 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tiz Toffee 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Princess Dorian 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Gia Lula 3.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Baby Ice 3.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Ruby Trust 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Meso 5.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chatterman 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Competing 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Fast Cotton 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Denman’s Call 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Rick’s Dream 2.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Executive Cat 4.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Appolina 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Runaway Luck 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Clochard Street 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Flying Flirt 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Magic At Midnight 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Tip Tap Time 15.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Bernardini’s Girl 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Miss Maybell 3.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 So Gucci 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 B S Cyclotron 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sokudo 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Older Brother 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Love Your Life 2.50 4 7-1
3 3 Party Hostess 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Cash Encounter 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Simply Charming 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Handsome John 3.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Dutt Bart 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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