Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 14, 2019

July 14, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kosher Kontract 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Marco Island 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Rumson Rally 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Itgot Grandma 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Unbridled Mesa 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Bandito 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Spicy Meatball 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pugilist 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Wildcat Cartridge 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Pink Elephant 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Shrove Tuesday 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Sweeter Surprise 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Jumpin’ Nancy 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Fed Up Fired Up 5.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Justgimmeakiss 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Face of Victory 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 High Noon Rider 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 He’s One Wild Dude 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Minister’s Strike 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Swinging Star 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Papal Law 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Dothat Dance 4.50 6.9 13-1
6 6 Willy d’Rocket 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Inchesky (IRE) 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Twixt S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Late Night Pow Wow 1.80 1.9 4-1
7 7 Shimmering Aspen 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Cairenn 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Alter Moon 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Victory Rally 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Stormologist 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Crimson Frost 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 So Innocent 30.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Regal Retort 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Yorkiepoo Princess 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Jameela S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Anna’s Bandit 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Hailey’s Flip 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Elevated Vision 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Dendrobia 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Fear No Evil 2.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 A Great Time 4.50 5.4 10-1
9 9 Magician’squestion 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Ghoul’s Night Out 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Buff’s in Love 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Something Magical 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Monte Crista 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ben’s Cat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Phlash Phelps 3.00 3 6-1
8 8 Dirty 1.60 3.5 7-1
5 5 Oldies But Goodies 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Eastern Bay 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Sonny Inspired 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Love You Much 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Tempt Me Twice 10.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Street Copper 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Grandiflora 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Concern S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mind Control 1.40 2.7 5-1
8 8 Gnarly Mo 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Compound It 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Lexitonian 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Mount Travers 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Captain Von Trapp 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Royal Urn 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Fact of War 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Still Dreaming 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tappin Cat 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Follow the Dog 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Stormy Blues S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Introduced 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Karama 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Ying Yue 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Fionnbharr 15.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Change of Control 3.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Summering 5.00 6 11-1
5 5 Tide Storm 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Why Now 20.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Sexyama 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Freudian Finish 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Ten Oaks Miss 30.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Never Enough Time 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ellanation 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ravenel 1.80 3.3 6-1
4 4 Shake D Moon 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Dixie’s Fascinator 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Trois Ponts 2.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Paris Lady 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Icantrumpthat 30.00 6 11-1
9 9 Infinite Zest 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 La Silueta 12.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Dancing Contessa 20.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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