Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 14, 2019

July 14, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hire the Lady 1.60 1.9 4-1
8 8 Maxixe 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Bendita 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hot Channel 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Judge Kitten 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Tizbud She Wants 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 My Temple 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Undercover Outlaw 50.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Discrimanation 99.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gracias Adios 1.40 2 4-1
5 5 Mariealena 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Proud Legacy 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Chasity 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Sonoma Storm 8.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Freckles Kan 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 4 Nikki Bella 3.00 2.4 4-1
6 5 Trappe Me Later 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Northern Wind 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Rethinkme 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Salsa Rita 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sum Overture 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Sturgeon 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Weather Report 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 5 Lost for Words 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Codeseventyseven 2.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Monkey Money 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Oklahoma Crude 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Fiorella 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Bella Tormenta 1.80 2.7 5-1
4 4 Tap Til Dawn 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Katniss Kan 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Sassy Justice 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Offspring 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Papa Regala 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Abaco Dream 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Lillie’s Heat 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Caruca 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Little Nicole 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Adamant 4.50 5.6 10-1
11 11 Herecitykitty 4.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Madelyn’s Dancer 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Truly Courageous 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Mardi Gras Girl 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Treasured Info 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Penny Rose 15.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Belladonnia 1.20 1.7 3-1
4 4 Capture the Genie 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Tara 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Hear My Prayer 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Foxy Lady 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Karatbars 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Ceci Valentina 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Freret 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 She Broke My Heart 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hard Count 3.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Jeeker Joe 3.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 I Stand Corrected 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Overwatch 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Dardanellos 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Starship Mufasa 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 South Pointe Drive 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Rich’s Rags 10.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Soul Kitten 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Slammin’ Mike 15.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Sir Seamus 20.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Blazing Island 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Love Nest 1.40 2.4 4-1
4 4 For the Gipper 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Karen’s Cove 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Oskar Blues 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 7 El Playon 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Braver Then We Are 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Irish Letters 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Pirate’s Treasure 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wingman 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Seven Gems 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Nunc Pro Tunc 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Fortunate Friends 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Toughest ‘Ombre 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Til the End 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Dexter Road 10.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Farley 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Strike Midnight 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Happy Hat 30.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Break in the Storm 50.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Fundy’s Tide 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sarasota County 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Leaky Cup 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Oh Danny Bear 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Famous N Flashy 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Two Pops 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Zorb 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Hard Belle 4.50 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Anjali 1.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Chaos Rising 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Intricately 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Chantilly Lilly 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 6 Kylesnorthernstar 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ethel Eileen 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 7 Susies Who 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Winning Rate 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Nanie’s Treasure 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 America First 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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