Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 14, 2019

January 14, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Clever Sarah 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Fire Up the Band 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Swedenborg 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Oceano Rosso 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Little Cat Gee 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Light Hearted 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 She’smyrisenstar 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Party Pants 1.60 2.2 4-1
6 7 Her Divineness 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Shanghai Tootsie 3.00 3 6-1
8 9 Moscows Got Talent 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 3 Smarty Pi 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Paula’s Dream 12.00 5.6 11-1
1A 6 Risque Express 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 8 Offleeluckylady 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 2 Georgia Bonnet 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 City Siege 1.40 2.2 4-1
1 1 Iron Lion 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Vegas Tycoon 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Alwayslookeye 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Who’s Driving 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Brother Tez 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Really 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Malandrina 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 I’m Thirsty 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Da Wildcat Girl 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Special Risk 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Hy Rapid Lady 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Nothin But Trouble 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pig Pen 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Silver Assault 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Ebo Strong 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 South Sea 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Golden Exchange 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Forest River 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 El Dulzura 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mother Ginger 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Folk Magic 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Clare’s Dowery 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Brazilian Symphony 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Elnath 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Midnight Bounty 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Hola Princess 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Don’s Escapade 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blinding 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ok Now 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 I Wanda Win 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 The Morning Guys 10.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Texas Two Step 3.50 2.3 4-1
10 6 Aimed 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Cause for Surprise 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 2 Bluegrass Demon 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 3 Howboutthemcowboys 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 5 Don’t Make It Easy 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Novus 4.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Hidden Bamboo 3.00 3 6-1
5 4 Speed Syndrome 4.50 3.4 7-1
6 5 Thank You Ricketts 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Li’l Dude L Do It 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Big Lie 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Marty McFly 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Kowboy Kenny 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mutawasem (IRE) 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Infuriated 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 La Vale 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dan’s Girl 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Celesse 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Doctorsofmischief 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Aggregator 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 3 Lady Keswick 12.00 5 10-1
2 1 Queen Fantabulous 8.00 5.7 11-1
1A 7 Axe Capital 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Dean’s Ticket 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Candy Boss 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Fire Command 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Braydens Start 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Our Juliet 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Evil Woman 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Month of Sundays 8.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Wise Trade 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Somethingwithlilly 30.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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