Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 13, 2019

January 13, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Swirrlie Shirlie 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Caterina One 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Fifteen K 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Full of Drama 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Just a Whim 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dixie Do Good 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Miss After School 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 A True Gentleman 1.80 2.9 5-1
3 3 Kopper Wired 4.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Sandy Lane 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Cape Romance 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Broad Expanse 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 In Him With Him 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bon Heir 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Little United 2.50 3.7 7-1
11A 11 Prestons Princess 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Tiz Emily and Jill 5.00 4.9 9-1
1A 1 Leapt 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Springtime Wind 5.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 No More Excuses 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Trufflesberg 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Big Momma 30.00 7 13-1
6 6 Dat Dares Gold 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Slewzer 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Classic Cotton 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Cozy Lover 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Robey’s Boy 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Stretch’s Stone 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Greatbullsoffire 3.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Ballivor 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Eastern Bay 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Fly E Dubai 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Evil Monkey 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Glindas Good Karma 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bye Bye Blues 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 S W Briar Rose 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Polite Pearl 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Miss Jak 3.50 4 7-1
5 5 Enterprise Value 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Pretty Enuff 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Sudden Hope 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Beautiful Maiden 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Queen of Schmooze 30.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Poplar Avenue 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Top Czar 1.60 3.1 6-1
1 1 Generalist 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 We Made It 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Great Nation 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Bustoff 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Tapitontheside 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Freedom Storm 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shanghai Glory 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Paz the Wine 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Angelinas Star 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Dorothy Vaughan 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Bagels and Lox 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Tizadoozi 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Ginger in Disguise 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dancingwithpaynter 0.60 1.9 4-1
1 1 Congrats Graduate 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Petticoatsnpistols 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Jah Grace 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 String Bean 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Arbutus 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Estrella Grande 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Princess Nekia 30.00 6.5 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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