Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 13, 2019

January 13, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 American Mandate 0.60 2.2 4-1
5 5 Jake Rocks 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Grumps Little Tots 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Loverboy Lou 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Deft 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stan the Man 1.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Weather Wiz 2.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Regal Quality 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Tusk 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Dothat Dance 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Coltandmississippi 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sharpe and Ready 1.20 1.9 4-1
1 1 Ark in the Dark 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Shamrock Kid 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Shortlist 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Magnetron 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Our American Star 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wisecrack 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Forecaster 1.60 3.5 7-1
3 3 Rouxhere 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Missionatthespa 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Fortune’s Boy 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Center City 10.00 5 10-1
8 8 I Saw It All 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Triple Axel 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Unsullied 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Leap to Glory 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Mr. Massena 5.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 All Clear 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Desert Lights 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Hopper Dropper 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Ten Twenty Nine 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Mickey T 30.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Imvros Pride 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Erlich 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Midnight Curfew 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Kumar 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Binary 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Mental Model 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Pickle Rick 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Habitue 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Coast to Coast 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Rego Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bustin to Be Loved 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Strive for a Cure 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Blindwillie McTell 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 6 Thorny Tale 4.50 3.4 7-1
9 8 Just Right 3.50 3.8 7-1
11 9 Kazmania 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Kadens Courage 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Bydawnsearlylight 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Funny Guy 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Tiergan 15.00 7.1 14-1
5 5 Show Prince 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mister Humor 4.50 SCRATCH
4 3 La Cat Warrior 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Thefinalcrazydude 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Infield Is In 8.00 4 8-1
10 9 There Goes Jose 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Wheresthebarber 4.00 5 9-1
5 4 Latin Love Bug 12.00 5 9-1
9 8 Bigsouljoel 15.00 6.1 11-1
7 6 Buss the Bell 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 2 Can Go 30.00 7.7 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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